Senin, 28 Februari 2011

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A Marriage Carol, by Chris Fabry, Gary Chapman

On Christmas Eve twenty years earlier, Marlee and Jacob were married in a snowstorm.   This Christmas Eve, they are ready to quit, divorce is imminent. Their relationship is as icy as the road they’re traveling and as blocked with troubles as the piling snow. They take a shortcut to get to the lawyer’s office, on a slippery, no-fault path. She thinks they need to stay on the main road. He disagrees. They fight. Story of their lives and they slam into a bank of snow , spinning, drifting, falling, out of control. Just like their lives. Reluctantly, freezing cold, hungry, scared, she trudges up the hill. Jacob is nowhere to be found. Her ears frozen, fingers and hands red, she comes to a house on the hillside, built like a Bed and Breakfast, a green wreath on the red door and the door-knocker is in the shape of a wedding ring.

The red door opens and the first thing she notices is the fire in the room, blazing hot, a warm, inviting, friendly place and the voice of an old man welcomes her in. There are three golden pots on the hearth, shining, glimmering things. The old man claims that they are used to restore marriages. She laughs—and begins a journey through her past, present, and future that will test how she views her lifelong love. There are two futures available. Which will she choose?

  • Sales Rank: #501700 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-09-01
  • Released on: 2011-09-01
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

Publishers Weekly

A Marriage Carol-Chris Fabry & Gary Chapman. Moody/River North

Christmas Eve marks Jacob and Marlee Ebenezer’s wedding anniversary and, 20 years later, the official dissolution of their marriage. Their journey to sign the divorce papers, however, turns into much more when a blizzard and an accident threaten lives. Marlee finds safety in a farmhouse where “Jay” helps her see her past, present, and future and offers a new way of seeing herself, husband, and marriage. The authors seamlessly blend the cleansing qualities of snow (“Melting snow exposes. Each flake is like a choice we make”) with transparent reference to Dickens’s A Christmas Carol to create a challenging yet heartwarming tale that will touch readers long beyond the holiday season. This novella—combining the storytelling prowess of Fabry (Almost Heaven) and the marriage expertise of Chapman (The Five Love Languages series)—will change lives with its message “that there is great power in small choices.” Chapman’s afterword and discussion questions deepen the impact. This is a tiny book with a huge message. (Sept.)

GENRE GO ROUND REVIEWS BY HARRIET KLAUSNER
August 9, 2011

Two decades of marriage that began on Christmas Eve is ironically ending on Christmas Eve. The relationship between Marlee and Jacob Ebenezer is colder than the wintry weather outside the car they share on their way to see the divorce lawyer to sign the final papers. Both worry about telling their three kids though they agree to say nothing until after the holidays. Driving on the road to the attorney leads to a fight as Marlee feels with the snow and ice they should remain on the main road while Jacob chooses a shortcut. On a curve with headlines bearing down on them, Jacob loses control.

Marlee awakes alone and frozen; Jacob is nowhere in sight; her cellphone fails to work. She leaves the car looking for Jacob but sees lights so heads there. An elderly man Jay opens the door allowing the shivering Marlee to warm up, but he insists no other visitor has arrived. He searches for Jacob but fails to find him. Marlee and the couples’ retreat center owner chat while his wife rests upstairs thinking about God and marriage. As her host goes to check on his wife, Marlee sees her past and present through her loving family members, and a future path with two choices.

Paying obvious homage to Dickens’ A Christmas Carol, Chris Fabry & Gary Chapman provide an engaging family fantasy that starts off with an emotional question of “When do we tell the kids?” An entertaining parable, the story line focuses on the importance of honesty communicating as the key fuels to maintain loving relationships. Although the cast is never deeply developed beyond relational roles, readers will appreciate this fun contemporary version of the classic.

 Harriet Klausner

Review

"Nothing hits our hearts like a story. Chris Fabry and Gary Chapman have written a fictional parable that expresses the true pain in and hope available for so many marriages. It’s an easy read that can make big changes in your marriage!" -- Dr. Juli Slattery, co-host on the Focus on the Family daily broadcast

“Sometimes it takes a hard skid and crash before people stop long enough to realize we can’t receive the kind of love we crave unless we’re willing to live it. In A Marriage Carol, Chris Fabry and Gary Chapman illustrate that taking the leap of faith to work through difficulties can result in unexpected blessings and the promise of great reward for those who refuse to give up. A joyous, passionate honeymoon of a story perfectly fit for the Christmas season.” -- Francine Rivers, bestselling author of Redeeming Love

"Two of my favorites dish up a holiday feast of magic and hope." --Jerry B. Jenkins, bestselling author & owner, Christian Writers Guild

From the Back Cover

JUST ONE SNOWFLAKE CHANGES

THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE DRIFT

JUST ONE

choice

changes a life

On a snowy Christmas Eve, their anniversary, Marlee and Jacob take a treacherous drive to sign papers signaling the end. Tired of fighting, tired of the pain, and no passion left , they have chosen to end their marriage. But a shortcut over an icy mountain pass brings Marlee on a collision with her life. Visions of the past haunt; images of the present and future make her wonder if they have chosen the best course.

 With a nod toward Dickens and a heaping helping of truth from bestselling author Dr. Gary Chapman, this surprising tale will take you through twists and turns and lead you on a journey into the power of snow. If your heart needs rekindling, if you long for unconditional love, this story will bring warmth and hope..

(right hand flap with author photos)

CHRIS FABRY can be heard daily on Moody Radio’s Chris Fabry Live, where he “talks over the back fence” with listeners across the country. Chris is married to Andrea and they have five daughters and four sons.

GARY CHAPMAN, PhD, is the author of the #1 New York Times bestselling The 5 Love Languages ®.With over 30 years of counseling experience, he has the uncanny ability to hold a mirror up to human behavior, showing readers not just where they go wrong, but also how to grow and move forward. 

(Left hand flap with endorsements)

"Two of my favorites dish up a holiday feast of magic and hope." --Jerry B. Jenkins, bestselling author & owner, Christian Writers Guild

“Sometimes it takes a hard skid and crash before people stop long enough to realize we can’t receive the kind of love we crave unless we’re willing to live it. In A Marriage Carol, Chris Fabry and Gary Chapman illustrate that taking the leap of faith to work through difficulties can result in unexpected blessings and the promise of great reward for those who refuse to give up. A joyous, passionate honeymoon of a story perfectly fit for the Christmas season.” -- Francine Rivers, bestselling author of Redeeming Love

FRONT COVER ENDORSEMENT – in reverse type on wreath

Two of my favorites dish up a holiday feast of magic and hope. – Jerry B. Jenkins, bestselling author & owner, Christian Writers Guild

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
An Important Christmas Lesson
By Voracious Reader
After being married for twenty years and having three children, Marlee and Jacob are on their way to sign divorce papers. Ironically, there's a snow storm this Christmas Eve, just like there'd been on the Christmas Eve when they were married. It's hard to believe this is their anniversary. Marlee complains when Jacob takes the back road shortcut, and, sure enough, they get into an accident. Afterwards, Marlee can't find Jacob, but she wanders to a house belonging to an older couple. Jay tells her they run a marriage counseling retreat. He shows her how to melt snow in three magical pots that show her marriage in the past, present, and future with the old classmate she's been facebooking. Now, she has a choice to make. Does she want to fight for her marriage or give up easily?

I thought this was a good story with very realistic lessons. Most of us don't realize that marriage with anyone will eventually have rough spots, and, most of the time, we might as well put the effort into the first marriage, rather than to keep changing partners. This short story, as the title and the characters, Marlee and Jacob Ebenezer, indicate, is very loosely based on A CHRISTMAS CAROL. Instead of going to bed and dreaming, however, Marlee is in a coma. I say this, because those who didn't finish the story would not have understood this part, and it makes the story more sensible. You'll need to read it to see exactly what the pots show her and how the ending unfolds. It's a good, Christmas story.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Holiday Spirit
By TheOtherMrsM
I really like listening to Chris Fabry on my local Christian radio station, so I was pleased when this book came out. And Gary Chapman usually hits the nail on the head in anything he does. The story helped to invoke the Spirit of Chrostams in me, during a dark year of my life, although I must admit, it is rather predictable and cheesy at points.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Christmas story
By Lisa M. Gallup
Struggling in your marriage? That is what Marlee and Jacob were doing. An accident changes their choices. Love is a choice. Divorce is easy. Marriage takes work and commitment to your spouse. Good short story.

See all 321 customer reviews...

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Selasa, 22 Februari 2011

[G547.Ebook] Download Pope Francis: The Story of the Holy Father, by Marie Duhamel

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Pope Francis: The Story of the Holy Father, by Marie Duhamel

From the moment he was elected into the papacy, Pope Francis has captured the attention of the world with his humility, charisma, and reformist spirit.
This one-of-a-kind, illustrated biography of the first Jesuit pope offers more than 250 photographs and 50 removable documents from Francis's life. Written by Vatican Radio reporter Marie Duhamel, this intimate portrait includes his parents emigration from Italy, his birth as Jorge Mario Bergoglio in 1936, his love of soccer and opera as a child, the pneumonia that nearly cost him his life as a young adult, his calling to the priesthood, and his first encounter with poverty as a missionary in Chile that would change his life. Duhamel chronicles Francis's rise from priest to bishop to cardinal to the papacy and how, along the way, he impressed many people-and alienated some-with his courage to stand up to authority and his dedication to helping the poor.
Enclosed documents such as his baptism certificate, photographs from his childhood, pages from a school notebook, handwritten notes as pope, and even a support card for his beloved San Lorenzo
soccer club, further illuminate his life and create a lasting keepsake of this pope of the people.

  • Sales Rank: #757530 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-10-18
  • Released on: 2016-10-18
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 12.25" h x 2.25" w x 10.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 144 pages

About the Author
Marie Duhamel has been a journalist for Radio Vatican since 2007. She previously worked for Radio France and RAI 3. She speaks French, Italian, and English.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A Masterpiece: A Future Heirloom
By Laura0806
When I first received this book in the mail, I anticipated a beautifully illustrated and written biography on Pope Francis. What I didn’t expect was this absolutely glorious collection of over 250 rarely seen photographs of the Pope, many of them full page and double page spread. The book is filled with facsimiles of documents and pullouts in over 50 pages. First skimming over the book, I had to recheck the price in unbelief that it was only $50.00 for this one of a kind biography that is the only book of Pope Francis that is Vatican-Endorsed.

The books is very big measuring about 10 ½ x 12 “ and 2 ½ “ in thickness which may make it a pretty thick book for a coffee table book. This book also has it’s own cardboard book case cover to protect the actual book.

Some of the documents in this book look so authentic, being printed in the color and size, and medium of the actual documents. To say there are 138 pages in the book is hard to imagine because that doesn’t include the inserts containing facsimiles of Pope Francis’s birth and baptismal certificate, letters, pamphlets, handwritten letters by Pope Francis, postcards, holy cards, little prayer books, song booklets, reprinted magazine articles - to name a few. Many of them are written in the language that that Pope Francis used. These inserts are true to size of the actual ones so when you open an insert, you get from 1 to 10 or more various pieces in each insert. There could be up to and more than 50 individual pieces (such as letters, booklets, cards) that are removable from the book itself.

There are 6 chapters in the book, which cover from the beginning of his birth to his childhood and young adult life to priest, bishop, cardinal and present day pope. The book is masterfully designed and written. After reading the contents you will feel like you know Pope Francis like you’ve never imagined. You will know his whole life. It is a masterpiece, in my opinion, and would make such a superb gift for anyone who loves Pope Francis and wants to learn more about him. It is a masterpiece and will be a future heirloom in your household.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
The ultimate gift book on Pope Francis
By Elizabeth G. Melillo
This is the ultimate 'coffee table book' for devout Catholics, or for anyone who admires Pope Francis. The detailed biography, documents, and photos are presented in a box set, and the book is very large - enough so that one doesn't squint to enjoy the photos.

Without including spoilers, I'll say that Jorge Bergoglio has a fascinating, multi-dimensional degree of talents and specialisations, many of which would be fresh knowledge for many of us. His life story is that of a remarkable man.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Fantastic Book on the Life of Pope Francis.....the Inserts themselves are tremendous.....you will Love this Book
By Claudia Robinson
This Book is such a Fantastic comprehensive Work on the Life of Pope Francis. Tremendous inserts (documents), pictures and the book itself is one of best biographical Books on the current Pope or ANY Pope for that matter. You will be very pleased and surprised by the level of detail and comprehensive nature of this work. Very Highly recommended on Amazon.....get your copy today.....great Christmas gift for any Christian.....

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Senin, 21 Februari 2011

[H999.Ebook] Ebook Free Two Roads Two Rooms, by John Lynch, Bill Thrall, Bruce McNicol

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Two Roads Two Rooms draws a clear distinction between two very different underlying motives: my determination to please God or to trust him. The resulting difference from these two starting points could not be more profound. One result is striving that never feels it has done enough to please him. The other results in a trust that experiences his full pleasure.

  • Sales Rank: #697595 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-06-15
  • Released on: 2011-06-15
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Fantastic
By Krys Wilson
I would highly recommend any book written by John Lynch to anyone but mostly to Christians. It is a condensed version of TrueFaced or The Cure which I recommend you read first. It explains the difference between TRUSTING or PLEASING God. It helped me to understand truths that I had been searching for for years. It was one of those " I finally got it" moments and it was life changing.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Grace versus Works
By Bruce M
What an excellent book to plainly show us how we think we are in the right room but if we really get honest with God and with ourselves...we know we are in the wrong room. I pray for courage for everyone who reads this book to leave the wrong room and walk into the right one. Where there is the ABUNDANT LIFE Christ speaks of. Outside of accepting Jesus as your Savior, it will be the best decision you ever make.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Such a Great short powerful book a true must read
By Jeanine
I love this book! I've read it before on an electronic devise and wanted to have it in hard copy for re-read and sharing.

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Minggu, 20 Februari 2011

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Whatever your budget "DK Eyewitness Travel Guide Greece: Athens & the Mainland" will lead you straight to the best attractions this dynamic region has to offer. Bursting with detailed maps of Athens and the Greek mainland regions, extensive cutaways and floor plans of all the most intriguing historical sites, this guide advises you on the best things to do in Greece - from scenic walks which take in the archaeological monuments of the Acropolis, to visiting the monasteries of Meteora, to relaxing on one of the gorgeous beaches on the Greek Mainland, the guide will leave you inspired. Fully updated and expanded, the "DK Eyewitness Travel Guide Greece: Athens & the Mainland" explores all the essential insider information every traveller needs, including dozens of suggestions for hotels, restaurants, entertainment and excursions across Athens and the Greek Mainland. "DK Eyewitness Travel Guide Greece: Athens & the Mainland" - showing you what others only tell you.

  • Sales Rank: #5886015 in Books
  • Published on: 2011-06-01
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.62" h x .79" w x 5.08" l, 1.32 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 352 pages

Review
The holiday starts the moment you open the guidebook The Guardian

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Eyewitness Guide To Greece
By Jeff Hoag
It arrived in like-new condition. The book is everything I have come to expect from Eyewitness Guides - excellent descriptions, photos, illustrations, etc.

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Kamis, 17 Februari 2011

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Although aviation is among the safest modes of transportation in the world today, accidents still happen. In order to further reduce accidents and improve safety, proactive approaches must be adopted by the aviation community. The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has mandated that all of its member states implement Safety Management System (SMS) programs in their aviation industries. While some countries (the United States, Australia, Canada, members of the European Union and New Zealand, for example) have been engaged in SMS for a few years, it is still non-existent in many other countries. This unique and comprehensive book has been designed as a textbook for the student of aviation safety, and as an invaluable reference tool for the SMS practitioner in any segment of aviation. It discusses the quality management underpinnings of SMS, the four components, risk management, reliability engineering, SMS implementation, and the scientific rigor that must be designed into proactive safety. The authors introduce a hypothetical airline-oriented safety scenario at the beginning of the book and conclude it at the end, engaging the reader and adding interest to the text. To enhance the practical application of the material, the book also features numerous SMS in Practice commentaries by some of the most respected names in aviation safety. In this second edition of Safety Management Systems in Aviation, the authors have extensively updated relevant sections to reflect developments since the original book of 2008. New sections include: a brief history of FAA initiatives to establish SMS, data-driven safety studies, developing a system description, SMS in a flight school, and measuring SMS effectiveness.

  • Sales Rank: #334388 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-08-12
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .82" w x 6.14" l, 1.67 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 396 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Nathan Sarkisian
very helpful for aviation majors on safety

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By J. Lewis
Excellent condition! Perfect. Thank you

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Kamis, 03 Februari 2011

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I Want to be a Christian, by J. I. Packer

Book by Packer, J. I.

  • Sales Rank: #2231356 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Kingsway Publications
  • Published on: 1985-08
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 256 pages
Features
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A classic
By Dane B Davenport
What can I say that hasn't been said about my favorite christian author, JI Packer. He is profound in the most understandable kind of way. His books are more for "travelers" than "observers" as he has stated before. There is no other author God has used in my life to help me grow more the Dr. Packer.

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Rabu, 02 Februari 2011

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Playing to Wiin: Nintendo and the Video Game Industry?s Greatest Comeback, by Daniel Sloan

How Nintendo reclaimed its spot at the top of one of the world's most competitive industries

Nintendo was once the dominant force in home video gaming--until Sony and Microsoft pummeled them with powerful new consoles. As those two giants battled each other for market share, Nintendo looked dead and buried. Then, true to its secretive, low-profile approach, Nintendo roared back into the market with its revolutionary Wii console and portable Nintendo DS system. Taking a completely different approach to gaming while embracing its creative roots, the company was back at the top of its game.

But how did a struggling Japanese family company, with its origins in nineteenth-century playing cards, come to dominate a competitive, high-tech industry? Playing to Wiin details the key succession issue for Nintendo, the development of the DS and Wii consoles, and the creation of remarkable new gaming software. All these factors combined to drive Nintendo back to the top of the gaming world.

  • Reveals the business strategy that led Nintendo back to the top of the gaming industry amidst fierce competition from bigger rivals
  • An inspirational story of a stunning business turnaround and the hyper-creative minds behind it
  • Written by an acclaimed financial and business journalist based in Tokyo

Offering a fascinating inside look at a market-leading company once left for dead, Playing to Wiin is a must-read for executives and leaders interested in one of the greatest business turnarounds in history.

  • Sales Rank: #2640524 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Wiley
  • Published on: 2011-02-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.68" h x 1.33" w x 6.42" l, 1.19 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 256 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

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2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Very interesting topic, and well written book.
By Inon Zuckerman
Let me start by saying that I read this book right after finishing another book on the same topic, "Nintendo Magic: Winning the Videogame Wars" by Osamu Inoue. While I pretty much enjoyed "Nintendo Magic", and ended up giving it 4 stars in my review, I think that "Playing to wiin" is a much better book, and everyone who is debating between them should definitely pick Daniel Sloans's book.

"Playing to wiin" contains an historical perspective of Nintendo and the video games war. The book takes you chronologically from the first days of Nintendo as a Japanese cards manufacturer, its first deal with branded Disney characters on the cards, and all the way to the world of electronic games and video consoles and software. There are two main reasons to pick this book over the competitor: first, editing-wise, the book provides a chronological perspective of the history, which makes lots of sense and reads a lot better than the other (which goes back and forth in time and includes many repetitions). Second, we also get lots of information on Nintendo's competitors at different parallel time lines (Sega, Sony, Microsoft), which allow us to grasp the market in a more complete way.

However, one has to keep in mind that the video game market is rapidly changing and adapting, and I think the book might become dated in a year or two. For instance, currently it looks like that Nintendo will probably won't survive Apple's surge on its popular hand-hold devices. The first huge crack in its hand-hold market is starting to show with the recent amazing $80 reduction of the 3DS's lunch price, and the declining stock price in the last couple of months. I think Nintendo's immediate future should be as interesting as its history.

I think this book makes an interesting read for everyone who is interested in the industry, but also to young Business schools' graduates who can easily learn a thing or two about somewhat different style of managing a large international business (e.g. keep a large amount of liquid cash on the side for dark days). Overall, for me this is a 5 stars book.

4 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Not a Single Original Source for this Book!
By Game Over
I started reading this book with high hopes and belief in the author, who is apparently a Columbia Journalism school educated correspondent.

As I kept on reading, I was struck that the author HAS NOT INTERVIEWED A SINGLE PERSON FROM NINTENDO. It's a complete cut and paste job!

I was flabbergasted. As someone who is a former journalist herself, I was taught there is no such thing as a single source story. This is an entire book written without a single original interview by the author.

If this is the state of journalism these days, no wonder there is so much distrust of the press. I investigated the author, and he is now a PR man for a Japanese car company (Nissan).

I could not believe that such a book could be published, frankly.

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Selasa, 01 Februari 2011

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Written specifically for pharmacy students, this book explains basic statistics. It contains chapters on basic concepts such as types of data, graphical representation of data, distribution and standard deviation. More advanced statistical techniques, such as ANOVA, are also discussed.

  • Sales Rank: #2995567 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Pharmaceutical Pr
  • Published on: 2002-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 6.25" w x 1.25" l, 1.10 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 608 pages
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  • Used Book in Good Condition

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
While Jones might be the best, no single statistics book is adequate for all common formulas.
By Tom Brody
Pharmaceutical Statistics (2008) by David Jones is 586 pages long and printed on high quality semi-glossy paper. The book excels in that it tends to disclose the theory behind the equations, rather than just the equations alone, and in that it provides a representative number of examples for each equation. A particular virtue of David Jones' book is that, in providing an example, it expressly discloses each step or operation that is used to solve the problem. In contrast, some statistics books just present the equations with no examples at all, or with only one example.

In buying this book, I was specifically interested in understanding standard deviations, the Z statistic, the t statistic, p values, confidence intervals, alpha values, hazard ratios, Wilcoxon rank sum test, critical values, sample size and power calculations, hazard ratios, logrank statistics, and survival curves (Kaplan-Meier curves).

In setting out to understand these equations, I also bought and read:
(1) Dawson and Trapp (2004) Basic & Clinical Biostatistics (Lange Series);
(2) Durham and Turner (2008) Introduction to Statistics in Pharmaceutical Clinical Trials;
(3) Kirkwood and Sterne (2003) Medical Statistics; and
(4) Motulsky (1995) Intuitive Biostatistics. In my opinion, Motulsky leaves the reader in a free-fall. On occasion, Motulsky provides some insight or guidance on using the various equations. But I would not recommend that any novice interested in statistics look first to Motulsky.
(5) Bart J. Harvey (2009) Statistics for Medical Writers and Editors. This short book is the best for understanding Standard Deviations. Harvey also has very good introductory material. The book's test questions might seem elementary, but they do establish some subtle but basic concepts. Harvey does not get much beyond SDs, and there is almost nothing about the t test or about p values.
(6) Rosner. Fundamentals of Statistics.

Providing that you have all three of these books -- Jones, Kirkwood, and Lange, it is possible to learn statistics for clinical trials. Jones is good in that it has more examples for solving. But Kirkwood is stronger on formulas for clinical trials.

KAPLAN-MEIER PLOTS. Jones fails to disclose Kaplan-Meier curves. For this topic, I refer the reader to the excellent discussion in Dawson & Turner. Kirkwood (pages 272-286) also discloses survival curves. But Lange (pages 221-244)is by far the best for this topic.

Z STATISTIC CALCULATION SCHEMES. First, plug in the population mean, SD of population, and sample mean, into the equation for Z, and arrive at a value for Z. (pages 102-105). Now, with a value for Z in hand, plug this value of Z into Appendix One (left-most column). When Z is plugged into Appendix One, you arrive at a value for probability (located in an inner column). This propability will be the likelihood of acquiring a value for that particular sample mean. The probability may be high, e.g., 0.80, or it might be low, e.g., 0.01. To repeat, the result is a probability value.

The author then discloses the reverse calculation scheme (pages 107-121). First, choose a probability value, for example, alpha = 0.10. Then, go to Appendix One until you get to a value in a column (an interior column). Then, look leftwards, and let your eyes find a home in the left-most column. At this point, you will find a value for Z. For example, Z = 1.28. Then, plug all the available information into the formula Z = (X - u) / sigma. The result will be a value for X, where X is a value for the sample mean that is taken to be a "critical value" or a "cut-off value." To repeat, the result is a "critical value."

What is confusing is that Jones fails to tell the reader that what is happening on pages 102-105 is a procedure going forwards, and that what is going on in pages 107-121 is the same procedure going backwards. That's all there is to it. What is also confusing is that Jones fails to tell us what to do about Z values that are negative. Appendix One of another book, Durham and Turner, is able to accomodate Z values that are positive, and also Z values that are negative. Even more confusing is that Table One of Jones has a massive error in it (page 556), which takes the form of a dramatic discontinuity in the numbers in the table.

CALCULATING Z. Jones is confusing on pages 87-94, 102-118, when he informs us that:

Z=[(sample mean)-(population mean)]/(SD of population)

This is confusing because another book, Rosner (page 244), informs us that:

Z=[(sample mean)-(population mean)]/[(SD of sample)/(square root of # of samples)]

Fortunately, we have Lange to turn to (pages 85-88 of Lange). Lange tells us that the first formula for Z is used when we are interested in individual observations, but that the second formula for Z is used when we are interested in the mean (and not in individual observations).

FORMULA for CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR SMALL SAMPLES. Pages 151-154 of Jones is equivalent to pages 53-55 of Kirkwood, for this simple formula. But Kirkwood's presentation of general information on Confidence Intervals (pages 50-53 of Kirkwood) is far superior to any presentation in Jones on this particular topic. Hence, I would recommend readers consult both Jones and Kirkwood for this formula.

WILCOXON SIGNED-RANK TEST. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test involves a simple transformation that any middle school student can perform, where the result is a T value (this is something separate from the t statistic). Following this simple transformation, the reader plugs the T value into a specialized formula for the Z statistic (pages 307-312 Jones). Jones is careful to provide some theory for the Wilcoxon signed rank test--the theory is that the Wilcoxon signed rank test needs to be used whenever the MEAN is a lot different from the MEDIAN (page 304 Jones) and that the Wilcoxon signed rank test is only used where one subject (given drug A) is compared with the same subject (given drug B or placebo).

For the Wilcoxon signed rank, I find that Jones is better than Lange. In Lange, the text provides an excellent description of how to do the Wilcoxon test, but the answer provided by Lange (-2.42), at least in my hands, should actually be another number (-1.947). Another problem with Lange is that Lange's parameters (mean & SD) shown on page 146 of Lange do not match up with the parameters given in Table 6.5 (page 146). Thus, for the Wilcoxon signed rank test I find Jones to be better than Lange.

SAMPLE SIZE AND POWER CALCULATIONS. Jones discloses sample size and power calculations on pages 172-179. The Jones narrative seems to come to a dead end on page 175, where delta is revealed as equaling 2.5 mL. But according to my calculations, delta should be 1.2 mL (50-48.8=1.2 mL). Lange (page 127) seems to lead to a dead end (since Lange fails to explain where the number -0.84 comes from). Kirkwood (pages 417-418) is the best of the books for sample size calculations, as Kirkwood provides a straightforward formula.

CONFUSING AND INCONSISTENT TERMINOLOGY IN STATISTICS BOOKS. In David Jones' book, the "the t statistic" is called "the t statistic." (page 153). But in Kirkwood, it is nowhere called "the t statistic," and instead it is called by three different terms: "t prime" (page 55), "percentage point of the t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedom" (page 55), and "the t distribution" (page 55). In yet another book, Lange calls the "t statistic" not by "t statistic," but by the name, "critical value for the t distribution" (page 101 of Lange). Motulsky calls the "t statistic" "t asterisk" (page 41, Motulsky). A way out of this confusion, at least in part, is the fact that there are really TWO DIFFERENT NUMBERS. The first is that the "t statistic" is something calculated from the formula: t = (mean1 minus mean2) / (SD / square root of n) The second is that "critical value of the t statistic" is acquired by plugging two numbers (degrees of freedom, and predetermined probability value) into a table, and here no mathematics is used at all. To repeat, for the second of these TWO DIFFERENT NUMBERS, you do use any formula and no calculations are used.

DISORGANIZATION. A fault with all of the above statistics books is their gross disorganization (though Harvey's book is too small to be disorganized). The reader would have an easier time if the authors would devote one page to disclosing that statistics requires making ones way through this decision tree. There are four yes/no questions in this decision tree. These four yes/no questions are independent of each other:
(1) Are you interested in CI, or are you interested in hypothesis testing?
(2) Is your sample from a large group, e.g., 60 data points or more (then you should use Z statistic) or is your sample a small group, e.g., under 60 data points (then you use t statistic).
(3) Are you comparing one sample mean with a population mean? Or does your comparison involve a "paired measurement," that is, data from a STUDY DRUG GROUP and data from CONTROL GROUP, where you compare [sample mean#1 minus sample mean#2] with [population mean#1 minus population mean#2]?
(4) Does your experimental setup involved a 1-tailed experiment, or does your experimental setup involve a 2-tailed experiment?

Then, there are three additional decisions to make in the decision tree:

FIRST DECISION. If you are working with the t statistic, you can use it to acquire a P value (page 66, Kirkwood) or you can use it for comparing with the "critical value of the t statistic, for use in hypothesis testing (page 63, Kirkwood; page 140-141, Lange). To repeat, once you have a value for the "t statistic," you can use this value for two different purposes: (1) PLUG IT INTO A TABLE TO GET A P VALUE; or (2) COMPARE IT WITH THE CRITICAL VALUE OF THE t STATISTIC TO DO HYPOTHESIS TESTING.

SECOND DECISION. If you are working with the Z statistic, you can use it to acquire a P value (page 92, Jones), or you can use it to do hypothesis testing (pages 157-159 of Jones, page 244 of Rosner, page 141 of Lange). To repeat, once you have a value for the "Z statistic," you can use this value for two different purposes: (1) PLUG IT INTO A TABLE TO GET A P VALUE; or (2) COMPARE IT WITH THE CRITICAL VALUE OF THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION TO DO HYPOTHESIS TESTING.

THIRD DECISION. If you are working with the Z statistic, you need to decide between two formulas. Z = [X-u]/[SD] (FIRST FORMULA); and Z = [X-u] / [(SD)/(square root of n)] (SECOND FORMULA).

The question is, when do you use the FIRST FORMULA and when do you use the SECOND FORMULA? Kirkwood fails to address this question. But Jones in combination with Lange provides excellent guidance as to when to use the FIRST FORMULA and when to use the SECOND FORMULA. For use of the FIRST FORMULA, see Jones pages 87-89 and Lange page 87. For use of the SECOND FORMULA, see Jones pages 156-159, and Lange pages 85-86. In a nutshell, the FIRST FORMULA is used for comparing data from a mean with a hypothetical value of interest to you (a value that you dreamed up out of thin air). The SECOND FORMULA is used when numbers are available for a Population Mean (and Population SD), and where numbers are available for a Sample Mean, and where your goal is to find probability of a hypothetic sample mean will have a value that is higher than (or lower than) the value of the sample mean. Jones does a better job at distinguishing between the two formulas than does Lange. Jones comes to the rescue!

The above collection of decisions in the decision tree is inherent in all of the statistics books, but the books fail to make explicit (or in an organized manner) the fact that these decisions are waiting for you in the text. In my opinion, there is no excuse for this sort of obscurity that so characterizes statistics books. It does not have to be this way.

The formulas used for clinical statistics have been around for over 100 years. The mathematics used in these books is on the level of a college freshman. Why is it that the presentation of statistics in all of these books is so disorganized, disjointed, and sporadic? These formulas are not rocket science. There is no excuse for generally uneven quality of the available statistics books.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Good!
By jan_07
Came in a timely fashion and in the same condition that it was stated to be in. Just stinks that my professor decided not to use the book once it got here!

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